What we’re reading (9/25)
“The European Energy Crisis Is About To Go Global” (OilPrice.com). “It was only a matter of time, really. In a globalized world, energy crunches can hardly remain regionally contained for very long, especially in a context of damaged supply chains and a rush to cut investment in fossil fuels. The energy crunch that began in Europe earlier this month may now be on its way to America. For now, all is well with one of the world's top gas producers…[b]ut supply is tightening, Argus reported earlier this month. In July, according to the report, U.S. coking coal exports dropped by as much as 20.3 percent from June.”
“Here Come The Crypto Rules” (DealBook). “Financial regulators are racing to regulate stablecoins. These digital currencies pegged to a stable asset like the dollar are used in crypto trading, banking and decentralized finance, addressing the problem of price volatility that plagues Bitcoin and others. Stablecoins have become an important bridge between digital currencies and the traditional financial system. But despite their name, stablecoins may be shaky. The urgency among regulators to rein in the industry has, in turn, generated a flurry of crypto industry lobbying all over Washington…[i]n their short history, lightly regulated stablecoin issuers have shown that they don’t always have the cash reserves they claim.”
“China Declares Cryptocurrency Transactions Illegal; Bitcoin Price Falls” (Wall Street Journal). “China’s central bank said all cryptocurrency-related transactions are illegal, reinforcing the country’s tough stance against digital rivals to government-issued money. In a statement posted on its website on Friday afternoon, the People’s Bank of China said the latest notice was to further prevent the risks surrounding crypto trading and to maintain national security and social stability. Cryptocurrencies weakened following the statement.”
“Did I Miss The Value Turn?” (Research Affiliates). “When most liquid asset classes are set to deliver a negative or near-zero real return, value stocks stand out as the only asset class likely to generate a 5%–10% real return over the coming decade. The opportunity to buy value stocks may be short-lived and we may wait decades for an opportunity of a similar scale.”
“Bar Talk: Informal Social Interactions, Alcohol Prohibition, And Invention” (Michael Andrews, working paper). “To understand the importance of informal social interactions for invention, I examine a massive and involuntary disruption of informal social networks from U.S. history: alcohol prohibition. The enactment of state-level prohibition laws differentially treated counties depending on whether those counties were wet or dry prior to prohibition. After the imposition of state-level prohibition, previously wet counties had 8-18% fewer patents per year relative to consistently dry counties.”